CYPRUS AND THE LESSONS LEARNTThe following is the original version of an article published in condensed form in The Jerusalem Post (29 Jan. 1997) with the title “The Russian Missiles Are a Must”—a title I would not myself have chosen had I been consulted. Coming after the senseless killing of three Greek Cypriot civilians and the mysterious killing of one Turkish soldier and wounding of another (both Kurds) on the line dividing Cyprus into an illegal Turkish colony and military camp in the north and a legitimate but nervous Cypriot state in the south,(1) the recent news that the Turkish Government is again threatening military action against the Greek Cypriots must surely cause all those who have supported Turkey’s invasion and colonisation of northern Cyprus through inaction and “neutrality” to reconsider. It must seem very strange to reasonable people that Turkey should be objecting to the Cypriot government’s plan to buy the Russian S300 anti-aircraft system. Every nation has the right to defend itself, and it is absurd that the very agressor against whom the Cypriot government feels it needs to defend itself, an agressor who has already invaded and occupied 37% of the island, should be insisting that Cyprus remain defenceless and at its mercy or else. Perhaps the Turkish Government would like the Greek Cypriots to build special roads for the Turkish army’s tanks and provide refreshments for its soldiers should they feel the need to advance further south! Turkey’s threats appear even more unreasonable when one remembers that the government of Cyprus has repeatedly proposed demilitarisation of the island. For example, in December 1993, President Clerides offered to disband the Cypriot National Guard, to hand its weapons over to the UN Peacekeeping Force, to fund the total cost of a numerically increased UN Peacekeeping Force that would guarantee the security of the island’s inhabitants, and to redirect any money left over from the defence budget into a special fund for bi-communal projects, subject to the withdrawal of Turkey’s troops. The offer was repeated in September 1996 when he invited Dektash to meet with him to discuss the offer. Demilitarisation seems like an ideal solution to the current impasse and deserves serious consideration, but the proposal was rejected. Why? For the simple reason that Turkey does not want a solution to the Cyprus problem. In fact the Greek Cypriots are seriously concerned that Turkey’s real aim is to annex the part of Cyprus it occupies, and that it is merely waiting for a suitable pretext. Even more worrying for the Greek Cypriots is the irrational view prevalent among Turkish nationalists that Cyprus is Turkish (despite the fact that Greek Cypriots constitute over 80% of the legal population of the island), and there is a real fear that Turkey has its sights set on occupying the whole of the island should the opportunity arise.(2) Such an opportunity could arise if Greece and Turkey go to war, especially if Cyprus is also involved. And to the Greeks it seems obvious that Turkey wants to provoke a war. It has been made abundantly clear by various representatives of the Turkish state that Turkey covets the Greek islands closest to its Aegean coastline, and that it has its eyes on Thrace, which has a sizable Turkish minority. A war with a Greece ill-prepared to test Turkey’s military strength would, Turkey hopes, open the way to territorial gains on both of these fronts, and would also give it the excuse it needs to occupy the whole of Cyprus. Turkey has learnt only too well from its 1974 invasion of Cyprus that, so long as it can come up with a plausible pretext for military action, (3) the USA and Europe will look the other way and not intervene, at least not quickly enough to prevent territorial gains.(4) This is a lesson the Greeks have also learnt, and, understandably, they are looking to their defence. Greece and Cyprus have agreed on a joint defence pact, and have committed themselves to spending huge amounts which they can ill afford on military hardware so that they might have some chance of repulsing, or better, deterring a Turkish invasion. Since neither Greece nor Cyprus have any designs on Turkish territory, and are unlikely to initiate military adventures with Turkey, the strengthening of their defence capabilities has to be seen as just that. And this latest Turkish threat has to be seen as not just a threat directed at the Greek Cypriots but also—if it materialises—as one more attempt to push Greece into a war with Turkey, since any attack by Turkey on military installations in Cyprus would have to be interpreted by both Greece and the Greek Cypriots as tantamount to a declaration of war and a testing of their joint-defence pact. With the danger of war so real, it is time for the USA and Europe, Turkey’s NATO allies, to call Turkey to order and make it unequivocally clear to the Turkish Government (including the real powerbroker in Turkey, the military)(5) that there is nothing to be gained from the agressive and provocative tactics which constitute Turkish foreign policy towards Greece. And it is also time that commentators stopped playing into Turkish hands by presenting the Cyprus problem as an “intractable” dispute between Greek and Turkish Cypriots. It is Turkey that calls the shots, not the Turkish Cypriots, who are being used as pawns by Turkey in power games that have nothing to do with their security and wellbeing. Even in the illegal state that Turkey created by forcing thousands of Cypriots from their homes and villages, they are a marginalised minority, outnumbered by Turkish colonists and soldiers and controlled by decisions made in Turkey and realised by Denktash’s puppet government.(6) No wonder their numbers are decreasing as they emigrate from the mess Turkey created for them with the collusion of Denktash and his cronies.(7) Like the Greek Cypriots, the great majority of Turkish Cypriots want a solution to the Cyprus problem so that a unified Cyprus can join the European Union. They do not want to be annexed by Turkey and they do not want to be swamped by “settlers”.(8) But this is not what Turkey wants or it would accept demilitarisation, withdraw its armed forces from the island, and allow the Turkish Cypriots to freely elect representatives to negotiate with the Greek Cypriots on a new constitution for Cyprus. Of course, such negotiations should have taken place back in the 1950s, and if they had, we might have been spared the bitter fruits of Greek Cypriot nationalism, Turkish expansionism and British imperialism. But perhaps it was necessary for the Greek and Turkish Cypriots to learn the lessons of the post-independence years before they could live with each other in peace again. Unfortunately Turkey has learnt a different lesson—that might is right—and is not prepared to let the Cypriots give peace and co-existence a chance. Pavlos Andronikos
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© Pavlos Andronikos. |